NAB, the annual convention of broadcasters, ends weaving a spell of optimism about the future. This is more palpable than for many years since the recession began to bite. Rising attendee numbers have returned, and there is a whole galaxy of new technical toys for the world to occupy their time with.
In many ways NAB has changed dramatically over the last ten years. The by-word then was ‘content is king’. The most important thing to get right (meaning popular) was the ‘programme’ format. This year there was very little discussion about programmes, except for three issues. Why the great success for a musical series about school kids called ‘Glee’? Why the success of anything Simon Cowell touches such as ‘American Idol’ the talent show. Why reality shows about roughnecks are so popular, as reported in the earlier blogs. Perhaps it’s just fashion, and the public’s cyclic search for something it has not seen before?
For the technology side, people got really excited about some new types of TV camera called ‘4K’ cameras. They have at least four times as much detail as an HDTV camera. One ‘4K’ camera on show produced the sharpest picture ever seen coming from a commercial camera. Of course, the better the quality of the picture, the longer the time before Joe Public hits the zapper button, so this 4K definitely has a future. But who would be brave enough to say that the HDTV will not last many years before it is outdated? Don’t tell the accountants you read this.
Another cause for excitement among US broadcasters was the idea of broadcasting TV to handheld receivers such as mobile phones. It’s not a new idea, but the plan is that the main US networks will shortly be available to as you wait in the rain in the bus queue in the morning clutching your mobile phone. This is something tried and failed in Europe. Here, people were not willing to pay subscriptions for TV services on a mobile that they could watch at home in greater comfort for free, so there was no way to pay for the extra transmitters needed. Could we be forgiven for thinking the same pattern will repeat itself in the USA?
Most of all there was the excitement about using television and Internet together – ‘Transmedia’. It’s an interesting challenge for creative people, and it will have some impact. But I wonder if the biggest factor shaping success of all is not related to technology – it is the ‘programme format’ If you find one that the public likes, at least for time, you have the world in your hands. But no amount of gadgets or technology can help if you don’t.



